Contrarians · Bet big at the extremes

RESD
⚔️ Swordsman
The Counter-Trend Swordsman Who Strikes the Top and Steps Back
Big-size counter-trend scalps — and the cut is just as fast
“One strike settles it. Let it drag on and I'm the one who loses.”
RRisk-taker
Bet Posture — Sizing habit — notional dispersion, share of 2× bets, max bet
Bet Posture — Sizing habit — notional dispersion, share of 2× bets, max bet
ECounter-trend
Market Relation — Share of entries aligned with vs. against the regime of the last closed candle
Market Relation — Share of entries aligned with vs. against the regime of the last closed candle
SSwift
Tempo — Median hold time — shorter is Swift
Tempo — Median hold time — shorter is Swift
DDisciplined
Loss Handling — Loss handling — win/loss hold asymmetry, loss tail, PnL asymmetry
Loss Handling — Loss handling — win/loss hold asymmetry, loss tail, PnL asymmetry
Traits of this type
- Loads heavy notional near the extremes
- Counter-trend scalps — holds measured in minutes
- Cuts fast when wrong — winners and losers held about equally
Compatibility
Markets where this type is at ease vs. in danger · the setup Cheongsan-i uses in the same regime
Best regime
RANGE wick reversals
Cheongsan-i setups: Wick reversal (wick_reversal) / Extreme-deviation reversal (extreme_reversal)
Nemesis regime
Fresh trend acceleration
In this regime, sizing down or sitting out is the careful choice.
The 16 Types
MeOppositeNeighbor (one letter off)
Contrarians