Contrarians · Bet big at the extremes

RESI
🦀 Crab
The Sidestepping Crab: Lightning Profits, Philosophical Losses
Quick sideways, but the claw won't open — wins closed fast, losses held tight
“Just learn to open the claw, and the whole ocean opens up.”
RRisk-taker
Bet Posture — Sizing habit — notional dispersion, share of 2× bets, max bet
Bet Posture — Sizing habit — notional dispersion, share of 2× bets, max bet
ECounter-trend
Market Relation — Share of entries aligned with vs. against the regime of the last closed candle
Market Relation — Share of entries aligned with vs. against the regime of the last closed candle
SSwift
Tempo — Median hold time — shorter is Swift
Tempo — Median hold time — shorter is Swift
IIntuitive
Loss Handling — Loss handling — win/loss hold asymmetry, loss tail, PnL asymmetry
Loss Handling — Loss handling — win/loss hold asymmetry, loss tail, PnL asymmetry
Traits of this type
- Sizes up with conviction — sizing varies a lot
- Counter-trend scalps — locks in wins within minutes
- Clings to losers far longer than winners — tail risk
Compatibility
Markets where this type is at ease vs. in danger · the setup Cheongsan-i uses in the same regime
Best regime
RANGE retracements · high-vol scalps
Cheongsan-i setups: Wick reversal (wick_reversal) / Extreme-deviation reversal (extreme_reversal)
Nemesis regime
Fading fresh strength · fees
In this regime, sizing down or sitting out is the careful choice.
The 16 Types
MeOppositeNeighbor (one letter off)
Contrarians